Orlando City 2-0 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.25
X/2
8%
9.52
X/X
8%
5.68
2/1
6%
21.3
2/2
11%
6.66
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.87/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.63
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.0 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Austin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.75 xG 3.28
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
171 Passes 508
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 40
6 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.05.2022 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 0-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-0
AWAY Austin
1.87 xG 0.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
22 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
338 Passes 471
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 4
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City saw off Austin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando City had 42% of the ball to Austin's 58%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.87 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Austin?

Orlando City 2-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 49%, draw 24%, Austin 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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