St. Louis City 2-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
7.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.68 — our 26% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.04
X/X
11%
5.26
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
19%
5.55
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.50/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
+25% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.3 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
2-2
AWAY DC United
1.98 xG 1.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
295 Passes 184
71% Pass Accuracy 56%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis City and DC United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Louis City had 57% of the ball to DC United's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.98 to 1.95.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs DC United?

St. Louis City 2-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 40%, draw 28%, DC United 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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