Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter Miami v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Inter Miami
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Inter Miami
ABD
2-1
HT 2-1
Toronto FC
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Inter Miami edged past Toronto FC 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Inter Miami had 43% of the ball to Toronto FC's 57%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.87 to 2.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Miami and 0.67 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 48%, draw 26%, Toronto FC 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.