Tigres UANL 1-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-3 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
08.10.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
16.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.10.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
14.10.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
08.08.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.50 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?

Tigres UANL 1-0 Pachuca in the Concacaf League Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 48%, draw 24%, Pachuca 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONLK More Concacaf League Cup
9 Aug 2024
02:30 Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Analysis →
05:30 Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →
06:00 San Jose Earthquakes vs Necaxa Analysis →