Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
4-1
HT 1-1
Pachuca
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-1
HT 0-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
Tigres UANL 0-3 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca cruised past Tigres UANL 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pachuca found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 67% of the ball to Pachuca's 33%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.85 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.33 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Tigres UANL 0-3 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 37%, draw 27%, Pachuca 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.