Guadalajara vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Puebla
MEK
2-3
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara edged past Puebla 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Guadalajara had 51% of the ball to Puebla's 49%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Puebla?
Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 57%, draw 23%, Puebla 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.