Santos Laguna 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 7 Apr 2024

Santos Laguna
1-1 HT 0-0
Club America
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Santos Laguna vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
20%
+11.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos Laguna v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 60%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.42/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.01
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
21.6 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Santos Laguna vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club America
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.93 xG 2.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
234 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Club America Club America 4-3 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-2 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
15.09.2022 Club America Club America 3-3 HT 1-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
13.02.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-3 HT 2-2 Club America Club America MEK
20.10.2021 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
01.02.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK

Santos Laguna 1-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-1
AWAY Club America
0.88 xG 1.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
355 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna and Club America couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 46% of the ball to Club America's 54%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.88 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Club America?

Santos Laguna 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 32%, draw 24%, Club America 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club America), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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