Leon vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
0-3
HT 0-2
Leon
MEK
3-1
HT 2-1
Queretaro
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
Leon 0-2 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro got the better of Leon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Leon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leon had 70% of the ball to Queretaro's 30%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.05 to 2.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leon and 0.67 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Leon vs Queretaro?
Leon 0-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leon 44%, draw 23%, Queretaro 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.