Seattle Sounders 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.69
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.89
X/2
13%
7.39
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
14%
4.81
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.71 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
31.03.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.10.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
11.05.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABDK
02.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
20.08.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
3-1
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.06 xG 1.57
37% Ball Possession 63%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 6
260 Passes 495
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
42 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders saw off Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 37% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 63%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.06 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.50 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Seattle Sounders 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the Concacaf League Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 44%, draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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