Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.56
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.68
X/2
15%
7.67
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
9%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.90/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.32
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.4 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
11.05.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABDK
02.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
20.08.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-3 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
12.03.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
02.11.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.77 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
385 Passes 452
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy nicked a narrow win over Seattle Sounders 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 46% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Seattle Sounders.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.00 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 43%, draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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