Racing Club 4-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
10%
10.35
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
12%
8.74
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.35/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.30
+20% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.6 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Banfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
384 Passes 230
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Banfield Banfield 2-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
04.06.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
19.08.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
30.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
06.09.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
13.02.2021 Banfield Banfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
4-1
AWAY Banfield
3.08 xG 0.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
362 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club swept aside Banfield 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Racing Club had 58% of the ball to Banfield's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.08 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club and 0.83 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Banfield?

Racing Club 4-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 49%, draw 24%, Banfield 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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