Argentinos Juniors 4-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

Argentinos Juniors
4-1 HT 4-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅07/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
13%
4.9
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
10.35
2/X
7%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Argentinos Juniors v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.52/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.54
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
26.6 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
24.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
16.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
06.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJK
15.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Argentinos Juniors 4-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
4-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
2.04 xG 0.49
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
471 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors cruised past Defensa y Justicia 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 64% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.04 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.33 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Argentinos Juniors 4-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 48%, draw 26%, Defensa y Justicia 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
7 Apr 2025
00:00 Boca Juniors vs Barracas Central Analysis →
02:15 Racing Club vs Banfield Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Riestra vs Platense Analysis →