Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

Defensa y Justicia
2-1 HT 1-1
Argentinos Juniors
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.88
No
64%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 42% vs market 32.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.46
X/2
16%
5.69
X/X
17%
3.72
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.13
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.1pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Argentinos Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.07
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.9 Crosses 22.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
219 Passes 370
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
24.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
16.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
06.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJK
15.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
09.10.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Argentinos Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
2-1
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.05 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 62% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 38%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 38%, draw 31%, Argentinos Juniors 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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