Shamakhi 0-2 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
0.95/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.84
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
08.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-2 HT 2-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
31.08.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
12.03.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.12.2022 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.08.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK saw off Shamakhi 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Neftçi PFK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Shamakhi 0-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 37%, draw 28%, Neftçi PFK 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamakhi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
7 Apr 2025
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