Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
-25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1 Corners 3
01.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
30.08.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
31.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
28.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.11.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan beat Sumqayıt 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.67 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt?

Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 50%, draw 27%, Sumqayıt 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
7 Apr 2025
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