Sumqayıt 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.2pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.13/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.68
-15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
4 Corners 4
31.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
28.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.11.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan squeezed past Sumqayıt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.50 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sumqayıt 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 48%, draw 28%, Araz Nahçıvan 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sumqayıt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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