Turan Tovuz 1-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 20%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.05
-3% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.01.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.05.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
16.03.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz squeezed past Sebail FK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 57%, draw 25%, Sebail FK 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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30 Aug 2024
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