Sebail FK 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

Sebail FK
1-1 HT 1-1
Turan Tovuz
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.74
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0

Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.05.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
16.03.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.10.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 2-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sebail FK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sebail FK and 1.67 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Sebail FK 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 45%, draw 23%, Turan Tovuz 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sebail FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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30 Mar 2024
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