Sabah 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

Sabah
0-1 HT 0-1
Zira
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.27/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
+1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zira
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
05.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
26.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
22.05.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
15.03.2023 Zira Zira 0-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
15.10.2022 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira edged past Sabah 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sabah and 0.33 for Zira.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Zira?

Sabah 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sabah 41%, draw 30%, Zira 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Mar 2024
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