Sumqayıt 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.61
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4 Corners 4
28.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.11.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt nicked a narrow win over Araz Nahçıvan 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sumqayıt 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 42%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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