Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
1.48/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.88
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Corners 4
30.08.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
31.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
28.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.11.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan nicked a narrow win over Sumqayıt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.00 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 44%, draw 33%, Sumqayıt 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
10 Nov 2024
18:00 Karabağ vs Zira Analysis →