Karabağ 4-0 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-13.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.60/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.33
+35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zira
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.09.2024 Zira Zira 1-3 HT 1-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
02.06.2024 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
10.03.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
24.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
05.08.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
21.04.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ cruised past Zira 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Karabağ and 1.00 for Zira.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Zira?

Karabağ 4-0 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 50%, draw 21%, Zira 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
10 Nov 2024
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