Volta Redonda 0-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
Crosses 18.7
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
0-1
AWAY Cuiaba
0.70 xG 2.26
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
483 Passes 205
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 24
39 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba squeezed past Volta Redonda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cuiaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 68% of the ball to Cuiaba's 32%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 0.70 to 2.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cuiaba's control.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Cuiaba?

Volta Redonda 0-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volta Redonda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 37%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Volta Redonda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volta Redonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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