Birmingham City U21 3-4 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.41
No
53%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.9pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
67%
-20.1pp
53%
BTTS No
33%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 66%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.71/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/0.43
+21% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.04.2024 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 3-2 HT 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 edged past Birmingham City U21 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-4 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 24%, draw 26%, AFC Bournemouth U21 50%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✗ BTTS No
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