Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.25/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.46
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
17.3 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-2
AWAY Llaneros
1.63 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
296 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros squeezed past Aguilas Doradas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 52% of the ball to Llaneros's 48%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.63 to 0.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros?

Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 50%, draw 26%, Llaneros 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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