Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 46%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
0.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.79
-28% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.0 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
31.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.08.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-3 HT 2-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
24.03.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0-2
AWAY Millonarios
0.65 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 1
404 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios beat Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 60% of the ball to Millonarios's 40%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios?

Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 29%, draw 28%, Millonarios 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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