Nacional Asuncion 1-0 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.03
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-2D-2L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.47 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
304 Passes 335
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
17.10.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
08.08.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-1 HT 2-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
25.02.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-0
AWAY 2 de Mayo
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion squeezed past 2 de Mayo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 45% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 55%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, 2 de Mayo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.80 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

Nacional Asuncion 1-0 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 42%, draw 32%, 2 de Mayo 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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