2 de Mayo 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.32/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+3% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 2 de Mayo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-1 HT 2-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
25.02.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 2 de Mayo
1-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.14 xG 0.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
335 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo nicked a narrow win over Nacional Asuncion 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day 2 de Mayo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, 2 de Mayo had 50% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 50%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.14 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 2 de Mayo and 1.50 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?

2 de Mayo 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a 2 de Mayo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 38%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (2 de Mayo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (2 de Mayo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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