Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
0.94/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.97
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
187 Passes 320
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.08.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.04.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
09.03.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-2
AWAY Club Guarani
0.83 xG 0.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
262 Passes 304
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and Club Guarani shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Guarani at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 47% of the ball to Club Guarani's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.17 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 26%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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