Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.03/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.19
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
187 Passes 320
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.08.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.04.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
09.03.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CON CSA
04.02.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo Ameliano 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.00 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 34%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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