MSV Duisburg 1-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.87
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.4
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
10%
7.09
X/2
16%
4.7
X/X
17%
4.34
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.86
2/X
5%
13.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME MSV Duisburg The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück The Market 49%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
1.53 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
1 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2025 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
28.01.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
22.07.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
02.02.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-6 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
18.08.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
16.11.2018 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
1 - 0
AWAY Osnabrück
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
281 Passes 432
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MSV Duisburg came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Osnabrück 1-0.

We leaned Osnabrück at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, MSV Duisburg had 41% of the ball to Osnabrück's 59%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MSV Duisburg and 1.67 for Osnabrück.

MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück Result & Final Score

MSV Duisburg 1 - 0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 25%, draw 28%, Osnabrück 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osnabrück), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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