Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2026

Jahn Regensburg
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
📅07/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.54
No
40%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.23
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
27%
2.84
6+
8%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.51
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
9%
7.87
X/X
15%
5.45
2/1
3%
21.35
2/2
14%
5.4
2/X
5%
13.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jahn Regensburg The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue The Market 30%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
263 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 4-3 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
24.02.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
01.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
06.03.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
24.09.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
04.04.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2

Jahn Regensburg 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1 - 0
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
358 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Jahn Regensburg edged past Erzgebirge Aue 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jahn Regensburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Jahn Regensburg's favour, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Jahn Regensburg against 1.33 for Erzgebirge Aue.

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Result & Final Score

Jahn Regensburg 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 50%, draw 25%, Erzgebirge Aue 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
7 Apr 2026
20:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II Analysis →
20:00 Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München Analysis →
20:00 MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück Analysis →
20:00 Schweinfurt vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →