Vag 1-0 Vindbjart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.31
No
32%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.3pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.4pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vag EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.39/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.38
-26% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vag
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vindbjart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
26.10.2025 Vag 1-1 HT 0-1 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
19.07.2025 Vindbjart Vindbjart 5-2 HT 2-2 Vag NOR4
POST-MATCH Vag vs Vindbjart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag edged past Vindbjart 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vindbjart at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vindbjart led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vag and 3.00 for Vindbjart.

What was the final score of Vag vs Vindbjart?

Vag 1-0 Vindbjart in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vag vs Vindbjart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vindbjart win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vag 33%, draw 18%, Vindbjart 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vindbjart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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