Alloa Athletic 2-2 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.29
Over 2.5
44%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.88 — our 25% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.27
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
7%
8.15
X/2
21%
4.84
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
24%
2.51
2/X
6%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.01/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.23
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
24.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-2 HT 4-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.05.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
26.08.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 4-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Hamilton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamilton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Alloa Athletic 2-2 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 21%, draw 27%, Hamilton 52%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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