Hamilton 1-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

Hamilton
1-2 HT 0-0
Alloa Athletic
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
2.22/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.98
+8% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-2 HT 4-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.05.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
26.08.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 4-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
19.04.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Hamilton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Hamilton carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.00 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Hamilton 1-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 56%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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