Kelty Hearts 0-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

Kelty Hearts
0-1 HT 0-1
Falkirk
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Kelty Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
64%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
15%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.4pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
64%
Away Win
73%
-9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 78%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.69
+32% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
201 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 660 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
23.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-5 HT 1-3 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
24.03.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
04.02.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
22.10.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 2-3 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
03.09.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk edged past Kelty Hearts 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Falkirk?

Kelty Hearts 0-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 17%, draw 19%, Falkirk 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Over 2.5
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