Cape Town City 2-0 Moroka Swallows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.29 — our 40% vs market 37.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moroka Swallows EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.68/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.04
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 82%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.5 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Moroka Swallows
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-1 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
08.08.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-1 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
19.02.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-0 HT 1-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
09.08.2022 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 3-2 HT 2-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
18.12.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-1 HT 0-1 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
29.09.2021 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-4 HT 0-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
2-0
AWAY Moroka Swallows
3.25 xG 1.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
435 Passes 191
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
41 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Moroka Swallows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City got the better of Moroka Swallows 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Cape Town City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cape Town City had 64% of the ball to Moroka Swallows's 36%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 3.25 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cape Town City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cape Town City and 0.67 for Moroka Swallows.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Moroka Swallows?

Cape Town City 2-0 Moroka Swallows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Moroka Swallows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 40%, draw 31%, Moroka Swallows 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cape Town City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
7 May 2024
20:30 Royal AM vs Ajax Cape Town Analysis →
20:30 SuperSport United vs Sekhukhune United Analysis →
20:30 Kaizer Chiefs vs TS Galaxy Analysis →