Royal AM 0-1 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.39
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 39% vs market 35.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal AM EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.73/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.99
+35% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
10.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal AM
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
350 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal AM
0-1
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
0.75 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
328 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Royal AM vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town squeezed past Royal AM 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Royal AM at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Royal AM had 53% of the ball to Ajax Cape Town's 47%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Royal AM vs Ajax Cape Town?

Royal AM 0-1 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal AM vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal AM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Royal AM 41%, draw 32%, Ajax Cape Town 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Royal AM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal AM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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