Floriana 2-2 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 7 May 2024

Floriana
2-2 HT 1-2
Gzira United
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Malta - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Floriana vs Gzira United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Floriana v Gzira United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Floriana vs Gzira United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
20.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
31.10.2021 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Gzira United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Floriana carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Gzira United?

Floriana 2-2 Gzira United in the Malta - FA Cup on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Floriana 58%, draw 24%, Gzira United 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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