Floriana 0-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.58/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.08
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
20.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
31.10.2021 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
0-1
AWAY Gzira United
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Floriana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Floriana had 53% of the ball to Gzira United's 47%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Gzira United?

Floriana 0-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Floriana 46%, draw 25%, Gzira United 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Floriana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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