Birkirkara vs Santa Lucia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birkirkara v Santa Lucia — Team-Based Signals
Birkirkara vs Santa Lucia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Santa Lucia
MLTP
0-4
HT 0-0
Birkirkara
MLTP
2-3
HT 0-1
Santa Lucia
MLTP
2-0
HT 2-0
Birkirkara
MLTP
1-0
HT 1-1
Santa Lucia
HAZ
Birkirkara 1-2 Santa Lucia — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Lucia edged past Birkirkara 2-1 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Birkirkara carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Birkirkara had 61% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 39%, shots finished 9-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Birkirkara and 1.00 for Santa Lucia.
What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Santa Lucia?
Birkirkara 1-2 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Santa Lucia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 59%, draw 21%, Santa Lucia 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.