IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
3.16/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
+150% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
47.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
33.0 Crosses 14.4
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Novi Pazar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.08.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.27 xG 0.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
312 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar edged past IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 49% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 51%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.61 — on chances, IMT Novi Beograd could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.50 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 49%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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