Spartak Subotica 3-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.37
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.0 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
262 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
22.05.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
19.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
19.09.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
07.11.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
3-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.80 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
267 Passes 389
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica got the better of Radnicki Nis 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Spartak Subotica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 42% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 58%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.80 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.17 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Spartak Subotica 3-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 36%, draw 30%, Radnicki Nis 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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