Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Chippa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippa United EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.57/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.48
+48% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +25%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
465 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 68%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
12.9 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippa United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.35 xG 0.70
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
518 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
19.08.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
07.09.2022 Chippa United Chippa United 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
07.02.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
24.08.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Chippa United
1.84 xG 0.41
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
580 Passes 208
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Chippa United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 69% of the ball to Chippa United's 31%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.84 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Chippa United.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Chippa United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 63%, draw 23%, Chippa United 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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