Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Chippa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.43
+43% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.6 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippa United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.68 xG 0.71
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
521 Passes 188
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
07.09.2022 Chippa United Chippa United 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
07.02.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
24.08.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
12.04.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY Chippa United
1.35 xG 0.30
77% Ball Possession 23%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
579 Passes 134
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 2
3 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns saw off Chippa United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 77% of the ball to Chippa United's 23%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.35 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.33 for Chippa United.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Chippa United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 58%, draw 23%, Chippa United 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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