Orlando Pirates 3-2 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.76
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
1.62/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.05
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +67%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.0 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
06.05.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
25.02.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
29.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
05.03.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-2 HT 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
06.11.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-2
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.02 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
281 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Kaizer Chiefs 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 56% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 44%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.02 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.17 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Orlando Pirates 3-2 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 51%, draw 24%, Kaizer Chiefs 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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