Stellenbosch FC 1-1 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -27%
0.39/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.51
-38% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
14.0 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.45 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
357 Passes 407
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
1-1
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
2.48 xG 0.77
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
454 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC and Ajax Cape Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Stellenbosch FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 66% of the ball to Ajax Cape Town's 34%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.48 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Ajax Cape Town?

Stellenbosch FC 1-1 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 55%, draw 26%, Ajax Cape Town 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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