Al Shamal 3-1 Arabi Doha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
14%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi Doha EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arabi Doha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
322 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-1 HT 1-0 Arabi Doha KQFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
3-1
AWAY Arabi Doha
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Arabi Doha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal got the better of Arabi Doha 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Shamal had 44% of the ball to Arabi Doha's 56%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Arabi Doha?

Al Shamal 3-1 Arabi Doha in the KATEK on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Arabi Doha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 50%, draw 24%, Arabi Doha 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KATEK More KATEK
7 May 2025
17:15 Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal Analysis →