Al Wakrah 1-4 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 0.68
60% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
414 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
01.11.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.10.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
16.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
29.10.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
09.09.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-5 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
1-4
AWAY Umm Salal
70% Ball Possession 30%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal ran out comfortable winners over Al Wakrah 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 70% of the ball to Umm Salal's 30%, shots finished 25-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wakrah and 1.00 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal?

Al Wakrah 1-4 Umm Salal in the KATEK on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 48%, draw 27%, Umm Salal 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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