Umm Salal 0-2 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.93/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.61
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.3 Crosses 17.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Wakrah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.84 xG 3.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
249 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
09.09.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-5 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
21.02.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
07.10.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-5 HT 1-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
15.08.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 4-0 HT 3-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
24.02.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
0-2
AWAY Al Wakrah
0.17 xG 3.39
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
181 Passes 414
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah saw off Umm Salal 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Wakrah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Umm Salal had 35% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 65%, shots finished 3-29, expected goals 0.17 to 3.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Umm Salal and 2.17 for Al Wakrah.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Umm Salal 0-2 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 28%, draw 23%, Al Wakrah 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wakrah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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